Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.543048 7.171303e-01 0.916033 1.156798 1.437081 1.749988 2.122611
2025-02-16 0.252326 4.372293e-01 0.684545 1.023674 1.461350 1.993042 2.673499
2025-02-23 0.121738 2.920727e-01 0.562495 0.980016 1.568689 2.333203 3.365222
2025-03-02 0.051128 1.894077e-01 0.458151 0.926705 1.643959 2.630989 4.023163
2025-03-09 0.025425 1.476531e-01 0.432332 0.978166 1.864634 3.133517 4.975306
2025-03-16 0.008903 1.033389e-01 0.380352 0.970986 1.990906 3.508848 5.773611
2025-03-23 0.003773 8.691634e-02 0.379130 1.049869 2.255362 4.093895 6.883529
2025-03-30 0.001042 6.958150e-02 0.366318 1.101913 2.477366 4.625020 7.935855
2025-04-06 0.000086 5.228824e-02 0.342640 1.125197 2.649422 5.086048 8.901465
2025-04-13 NaN 3.373082e-02 0.299125 1.094307 2.720307 5.391208 9.648025
2025-04-20 NaN 2.370013e-02 0.276909 1.104932 2.863436 5.811865 10.572996
2025-04-27 NaN 1.653525e-02 0.258667 1.119876 3.013241 6.246350 11.527616
2025-05-04 NaN 8.372561e-03 0.218856 1.070446 3.038669 6.487014 12.210156
2025-05-11 NaN 3.613951e-03 0.184582 1.024380 3.064227 6.727340 12.898823
2025-05-18 NaN 1.707811e-03 0.167705 1.024478 3.182643 7.126891 13.842244
2025-05-25 NaN 4.607157e-04 0.143752 0.992805 3.229577 7.404601 14.601901
2025-06-01 NaN 2.940820e-04 0.147790 1.059872 3.495084 8.068704 15.981693
2025-06-08 NaN 4.884783e-05 0.134529 1.059411 3.610490 8.473235 16.959077
2025-06-15 NaN 3.534499e-05 0.143523 1.147079 3.929174 9.244333 18.531830
2025-06-22 NaN 8.955053e-06 0.144882 1.204572 4.181790 9.903828 19.936706
2025-06-29 NaN 2.855126e-09 0.138881 1.230537 4.363150 10.440510 21.153629
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.120741 1.198368 4.406067 10.729043 21.976232
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.113105 1.210022 4.552581 11.207726 23.112553